Longterm Wiki

AI Safety Knowledge Base

A structured reference covering risks, technical approaches, governance, organizations, and key people shaping the future of AI safety.

676
Wiki pages
70
Risks documented
114
Approaches & policies
108
Organizations

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Capability
8.8k words

Agentic AI

Analysis of agentic AI capabilities and deployment challenges, documenting industry forecasts (40% of enterprise apps by 2026, \$199B market by 203...

tool-useagenticcomputer-use
Capability
2.5k words

Autonomous Coding

AI coding capabilities reached 70-76% on curated benchmarks (23-44% on complex tasks) as of 2025, with 46% of code now AI-written and 55.8% faster ...

software-engineeringcode-generationprogramming-ai
Capability
7.5k words

Large Language Models

Comprehensive analysis of LLM capabilities showing rapid progress from GPT-2 (1.5B parameters, 2019) to GPT-5 and Gemini 2.5 (2025), with training ...

foundation-modelstransformersscaling
Capability
2.7k words

Long-Horizon Autonomous Tasks

METR research shows AI task completion horizons doubling every 7 months (accelerated to 4 months in 2024-2025), with current frontier models achiev...

agenticplanninggoal-stability
Capability
2.8k words

Persuasion and Social Manipulation

GPT-4 achieves superhuman persuasion in controlled settings (64% win rate, 81% higher odds with personalization), with AI chatbots demonstrating 4x...

social-engineeringmanipulationdeception
Capability
4.9k words

Reasoning and Planning

Comprehensive survey tracking reasoning model progress from 2022 CoT to late 2025, documenting dramatic capability gains (GPT-5.2: 100% AIME, 52.9%...

decision-theoryepistemicsmethodology
Capability
5.8k words

Scientific Research Capabilities

Comprehensive survey of AI scientific research capabilities across biology, chemistry, materials science, and automated research, documenting key b...

alphafolddrug-discoveryscientific-ai
Capability
5.0k words

Self-Improvement and Recursive Enhancement

Comprehensive analysis of AI self-improvement from current AutoML systems (23% training speedups via AlphaEvolve) to theoretical intelligence explo...

intelligence-explosionrecursive-self-improvementautoml

676 pages · Continuously updated