Adoption (AI Capabilities)

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See also:EA Forum

The rate and breadth of AI deployment across sectors. High adoption accelerates both benefits and risks, creating path dependencies and increasing societal exposure to AI failures.

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Metric	Score	Interpretation
Changeability	40/100	Moderately changeable
X-risk Impact	45/100	Moderate x-risk impact
Trajectory Impact	70/100	High long-term effects
Uncertainty	40/100	Moderate uncertainty

What Drives AI Adoption?

Causal factors affecting the rate and breadth of AI deployment across sectors.

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Root Causes

Derived

Direct Factors

Target

Arrow Strength

Strong

Medium

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Scenarios Influenced

Scenario	Effect	Strength
AI Takeover	↑ Increases	strong
Human-Caused Catastrophe	↑ Increases	medium
Long-term Lock-in	↑ Increases	medium

Related Content

Related Risks

• Enfeeblement
• Economic Disruption
• Expertise Atrophy

Related Responses

• Labor Transition

Related Models

• Expertise Atrophy Progression

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