Suffering Lock-in

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See also:80,000 HoursEA Forum

Suffering lock-in describes scenarios where AI perpetuates or amplifies suffering at vast scale in ways that become structurally impossible to reverse, potentially including digital minds experiencing enormous quantities of negative states.

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How Suffering Lock-in Happens

Causal factors enabling AI-related suffering at astronomical scale. Based on consciousness science uncertainty, moral circle exclusion, and computational scale factors.

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Node Types

Root Causes

Derived

Direct Factors

Target

Arrow Strength

Strong

Medium

Weak

Influenced By

Factor	Effect	Strength
AI Capabilities	↑ Increases	medium
Misalignment Potential	↑ Increases	medium
Misuse Potential	↑ Increases	weak
Transition Turbulence	↑ Increases	weak
Civilizational Competence	—	strong
AI Ownership	↑ Increases	strong
AI Uses	↑ Increases	strong

Outcomes Affected

• Long-term Trajectory

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