Parameter Table

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Page Type:AI Transition ModelStyle Guide →Structured factor/scenario/parameter page

Quality:24 (Draft)

Importance:42 (Reference)

Words:29

Structure:

📊 0📈 0🔗 0📚 0•0%Score: 2/15

LLM Summary:An interactive sortable table displaying parameters from the AI Transition Model with ratings for changeability, uncertainty, and impact. Links to similar frameworks from Open Philanthropy and other sources for comparison.

Issues (1):

• StructureNo tables or diagrams - consider adding visual content

Similar tables elsewhere ↗

Model-based Approach to AI X-risk – Open Philanthropy’s framework

Planning for Extreme AI Risks – Intervention scoring

Int’l AI Safety Report 2025 – Expert consensus

View:FlatGrouped

High X-risk impact (>70)+Click to expand description

Root Factors4 high priority

22 of 22 results

	Parameter	Parent Factor	Changeability	Uncertainty	X-Risk	Trajectory
+	Technical AI Safety	AIMisalignment Potential	45	60	85	70	View →
+	AI Governance	AIMisalignment Potential	55	50	60	75	View →
+	Lab Safety Practices	AIMisalignment Potential	65	40	50	45	View →
+	Governance	AICivilizational Competence	35	45	55	70	View →
+	Epistemics	AICivilizational Competence	25	55	40	65	View →
+	Adaptability	AICivilizational Competence	30	50	50	60	View →
+	Compute	AIAI Capabilities	—	—	—	—	View →
+	Algorithms	AIAI Capabilities	20	55	75	85	View →
+	Adoption	AIAI Capabilities	40	40	45	70	View →
+	Economic Stability	SocietyTransition Turbulence	40	50	35	55	View →
+	Racing Intensity	SocietyTransition Turbulence	50	45	65	50	View →
+	Biological Threat Exposure	SocietyMisuse Potential	45	60	80	40	View →
+	Cyber Threat Exposure	SocietyMisuse Potential	35	50	55	45	View →
+	Robot Threat Exposure	SocietyMisuse Potential	40	65	60	50	View →
+	Surprise Threat Exposure	SocietyMisuse Potential	20	85	70	55	View →
+	Recursive AI Capabilities	AIAI Uses	35	70	85	90	View →
+	Industries	AIAI Uses	30	35	30	75	View →
+	Governments	AIAI Uses	40	50	55	70	View →
+	Coordination	AIAI Uses	45	55	40	65	View →
+	Countries	AIAI Ownership	25	50	45	65	View →
+	Companies	AIAI Ownership	35	45	50	70	View →
+	Shareholders	AIAI Ownership	30	40	25	60	View →

Ultimate Scenarios3 high priority

9 of 9 results

	Parameter	Parent Scenario	Changeability	Uncertainty	X-Risk	Trajectory
+	Rapid	AI Takeover	40	70	95	85	View →
+	Gradual	AI Takeover	55	60	80	90	View →
+	State Actor	Human-Caused Catastrophe	45	55	75	70	View →
+	Rogue Actor	Human-Caused Catastrophe	35	65	70	45	View →
+	Economic Power	Long-term Lock-in	—	—	—	—	View →
+	Political Power	Long-term Lock-in	—	—	—	—	View →
	Epistemics	Long-term Lock-in	—	—	—	—	View →
+	Values	Long-term Lock-in	—	—	—	—	View →
+	Suffering Lock In	Long-term Lock-in	—	—	—	—	View →