A tool for making well sized (~Kelly optimal) bets on manifold
Failed source check$11K
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Notes
[ACX mini-grants, Forecasting] Instead of saying "I want to bet $X on this market" you will say "I think the true probability is Y%", and it will tell you how much to bet
Other Grants by Manifund
353| Grant | Recipient | Amount | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Train great open-source sparse autoencoders | Tom McGrath | $4K | May 2024 |
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| Luthien | Jai Dhyani | $170K | Mar 2025 |
| Investigating the Effects of IF in the reversal of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus. | Ambreen Deol | $8.5K | Mar 2024 |
| Connect For Animals: a platform for ending factory farming | Steven Rouk | $21K | Aug 2024 |
| Split Personality Training | Florian Dietz | $3K | Apr 2025 |
| Holly Elmore organizing people for a frontier AI moratorium | Holly Elmore | $5.3K | Jul 2023 |
| Lead-acid battery recycling in Philippines | Micaella Rogers | $50K | Oct 2025 |
| AI-Plans.com | Kabir Kumar | $5.4K | Jan 2024 |
| Adjacent News | Lucas Kohorst | $1K | Aug 2024 |
Showing 10 of 353 grants