Pioneered science of superforecasting; authored Expert Political Judgment (2005) and Superforecasting (2015); co-led Good Judgment Project winning IARPA tournament 2011-2015; identified superforecasters outperforming intelligence analysts by 60-85%
Philip Tetlock (Forecasting Pioneer) › Notable For
Core Data
| Entity | Philip Tetlock (Forecasting Pioneer) |
| Property | Notable For |
| Formatted Value | Pioneered science of superforecasting; authored Expert Political Judgment (2005) and Superforecasting (2015); co-led Good Judgment Project winning IARPA tournament 2011-2015; identified superforecasters outperforming intelligence analysts by 60-85% |
| Raw Value | Pioneered science of superforecasting; authored Expert Political Judgment (2005) and Superforecasting (2015); co-led Good Judgment Project winning IARPA tournament 2011-2015; identified superforecasters outperforming intelligence analysts by 60-85% |
| Value Type | text |
| Unit | — |
| As Of | Mar 2026 |
| Valid End | — |
| Expired? | No |
Source
| Source URL | — |
| Source Quote | — |
| Notes | Enriched from wiki page |
Debug Info
| Fact ID | f_pT6tN2pQ1v |
| Subject ID | BCisPStEdQ |
| Property ID | notable-for |
| Derived From | — |
| YAML File | packages/kb/data/things/BCisPStEdQ.yaml |