Pioneered prediction markets (since 1988); invented Logarithmic Market Scoring Rule (LMSR); proposed futarchy governance; originated Great Filter hypothesis; authored The Age of Em and The Elephant in the Brain; 5,200+ citations
Pioneered prediction markets (since 1988); invented Logarithmic Market Scoring Rule (LMSR); proposed futarchy governance; originated Great Filter hypothesis; authored The Age of Em and The Elephant in the Brain; 5,200+ citations
Raw Value
Pioneered prediction markets (since 1988); invented Logarithmic Market Scoring Rule (LMSR); proposed futarchy governance; originated Great Filter hypothesis; authored The Age of Em and The Elephant in the Brain; 5,200+ citations