SecureBio
- QualityRated 65 but structure suggests 87 (underrated by 22 points)
- Links1 link could use <R> components
Quick Assessment
Section titled “Quick Assessment”| Dimension | Assessment | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Focus Area | AI-bio risks + pathogen surveillance | Two divisions: AI team (capability evals) and NAO (wastewater monitoring)1 |
| Funding | Well-funded by EA sources | ≈$9.4M from Open PhilanthropyOpen PhilanthropyOpen Philanthropy rebranded to Coefficient Giving in November 2025. See the Coefficient Giving page for current information. across multiple grants234 |
| Policy Influence | Growing | Virology Capabilities Test adopted by major AI labs; NIST AI Safety Consortium member5 |
| Team | ≈25 staff | Experienced leadership from MIT, biosecurity, and operations backgrounds6 |
| Key Concern | Information hazard balance | Biosecurity research inherently involves dual-use knowledge7 |
Overview
Section titled “Overview”SecureBio is a 501(c)(3) nonprofit founded in 2022 by Kevin Esvelt, an MIT professor who invented CRISPR-based gene drive technology.1 The organization works to protect against catastrophic pandemics—both natural and engineered—through a three-part framework: Delay dangerous capability proliferation, Detect novel pathogens early, and Defend through physical and institutional interventions.8
The organization operates two main divisions. The AI & Biotechnology Risks team, led by Seth Donoughe, evaluates how AI systems might accelerate biological threats and develops benchmarks for AI labs. The Nucleic Acid Observatory (NAO), led by Jeff Kaufman, pioneers wastewater-based metagenomic surveillance to detect novel pathogens before they spread widely.6
SecureBio occupies a distinctive position in the biosecurity landscape by explicitly focusing on catastrophic and existential biological risks rather than routine public health threats. The organization also bridges the AI safety and biosecurity communities, recognizing that advances in AI could significantly lower barriers to creating engineered pathogens.5
History
Section titled “History”Founding and Early Development (2022-2024)
Section titled “Founding and Early Development (2022-2024)”SecureBio was founded by Kevin Esvelt, who brought credibility from his work on gene drive technology and his security-minded approach to biotechnology. Esvelt had previously argued that the “security mindset was not sufficiently present in most of the bioengineering industry.”9
The organization quickly attracted funding from Open PhilanthropyOpen PhilanthropyOpen Philanthropy rebranded to Coefficient Giving in November 2025. See the Coefficient Giving page for current information., receiving multiple grants:
- $4,000,000 for general support over three years2
- $3,430,000 for the Nucleic Acid Observatory program3
- $1,420,937 for biosecurity research over three years4
- $570,000 for pathogen early warning systems10
Leadership Transition (2024-Present)
Section titled “Leadership Transition (2024-Present)”In September 2024, Kevin Esvelt stepped back from SecureBio’s Board to focus on his MIT professorship and academic research, though he remains involved as a co-founder.11 Dr. Benjamin Mueller, formerly COO, became Executive Director and Chairman of the Board.
The board was restructured with new members bringing diverse expertise:
- Christine Parthemore - CEO of Council on Strategic Risks, national security expert on WMD/CBRN threats
- Michael Specter - Staff writer at The New Yorker, science and public health journalist
- Liv Boeree - Science communicator and philanthropist11
Core Framework: Delay, Detect, Defend
Section titled “Core Framework: Delay, Detect, Defend”The Delay pillar focuses on slowing the spread of dangerous biological capabilities to potential bad actors. Key initiatives include:
SecureDNA: An international initiative providing free DNA synthesis screening software to prevent dangerous pathogen creation. The system can detect hazardous genetic sequences down to 30 base pairs.11
AI Capability Restrictions: Working with AI labs to implement appropriate access controls for models that could assist with biological weapon development.5
Detect
Section titled “Detect”The Detect pillar centers on early warning systems for novel biological threats:
Nucleic Acid Observatory (NAO): Uses untargeted metagenomic sequencing of wastewater to identify new and unknown pathogens—including those with extended incubation periods that evade symptom-based surveillance. As of 2025, NAO monitors wastewater from “more than a dozen sewersheds as well as three military facilities.”11
The approach is deliberately pathogen-agnostic, meaning it can detect threats regardless of whether they are natural, accidentally released, or deliberately engineered.1
Defend
Section titled “Defend”The Defend pillar develops physical and institutional measures to prevent infection and maintain societal resilience:
Far-UVC Research: Previously investigated germicidal ultraviolet light as a passive defense against airborne pathogens (currently inactive).8
Pandemic-Proof PPE: Advocated for improved personal protective equipment standards.8
AI & Biotechnology Risks Program
Section titled “AI & Biotechnology Risks Program”SecureBio’s AI team has become increasingly prominent as concerns about AI-enabled bioterrorism have grown.
Virology Capabilities Test
Section titled “Virology Capabilities Test”The team developed the Virology Capabilities Test (VCT), a benchmark measuring AI models’ ability to assist with complex virology tasks. A 2025 study using the VCT found that OpenAI’s o3 model “outperformed 94 percent of expert virologists” on troubleshooting complex lab protocols, demonstrating an “urgent need for thoughtful access controls.”12
The VCT is now used by major AI laboratories for pre-release safety evaluations.11
NIST Engagement
Section titled “NIST Engagement”SecureBio participates in the NIST US AI Safety Consortium and submitted formal recommendations including:5
- Ensuring the AI Risk Management Framework addresses biosecurity risks from foundation models
- Developing evaluations for CBRN risks including static benchmarks, model-graded evaluations, and task-based evaluations
- Assessing biological design tools (BDTs) that could lower barriers for non-experts
Collaboration with AI Labs
Section titled “Collaboration with AI Labs”SecureBio collaborates with frontier AI companies including AnthropicLabAnthropicComprehensive profile of Anthropic tracking its rapid commercial growth (from $1B to $7B annualized revenue in 2025, 42% enterprise coding market share) alongside safety research (Constitutional AI...Quality: 51/100 to build evaluation tools and mitigation strategies. Notably, former SecureBio Research Scientist Anjali Gopal, who co-led the AI project, moved to Anthropic’s technical staff.6
Team and Organization
Section titled “Team and Organization”Current Leadership
Section titled “Current Leadership”Team Structure
Section titled “Team Structure”| Division | Head | Team Size | Focus |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI & Biotechnology Risks | Seth Donoughe | ≈12 | AI capability evaluations, policy recommendations |
| Nucleic Acid Observatory | Jeff Kaufman | ≈15 | Wastewater surveillance, metagenomic sequencing |
| Operations | Alvaro Morales | ≈3 | Administration, finance, HR |
Key researchers include Jasper Götting (Head of Research, AI team), Will Bradshaw (Head of Computational Programs, NAO), and James Kremer (Head of Laboratory Science, NAO).6
Notable Departures
Section titled “Notable Departures”- Kevin Esvelt - Stepped back September 2024 to focus on MIT professorship11
- Anjali Gopal - Former AI Project Co-Lead, now at AnthropicLabAnthropicComprehensive profile of Anthropic tracking its rapid commercial growth (from $1B to $7B annualized revenue in 2025, 42% enterprise coding market share) alongside safety research (Constitutional AI...Quality: 51/1006
Funding
Section titled “Funding”Major Grants
Section titled “Major Grants”| Funder | Amount | Purpose | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open PhilanthropyOpen PhilanthropyOpen Philanthropy rebranded to Coefficient Giving in November 2025. See the Coefficient Giving page for current information. | $4,000,000 | General support (3 years) | 2023 |
| Open Philanthropy | $3,430,000 | Nucleic Acid Observatory | 2023 |
| Open Philanthropy | $1,420,937 | Biosecurity research (3 years) | 2022 |
| Open Philanthropy | $570,000 | Pathogen early warning | 2022 |
| Total identified | ≈$9,420,937 |
Operating Costs
Section titled “Operating Costs”The AI-Bio evaluation project alone costs approximately $700,000 per 6 months, covering team leads, policy scientists, contractors, and research assistants.13 As of early 2024, SecureBio was actively seeking additional funding to sustain operations.13
Criticisms and Concerns
Section titled “Criticisms and Concerns”Information Hazard Dilemma
Section titled “Information Hazard Dilemma”SecureBio’s work inherently involves dual-use knowledge—understanding how to defend against biological threats requires understanding the threats themselves. The broader biosecurity community remains divided on how to handle such information hazards.7
Some experts argue that emphasizing certain risks could “fuel threats rather than mitigate them”—citing how Al Qaeda’s bioweapons efforts reportedly began after the United States publicly highlighted biosecurity vulnerabilities.7
SecureBio has been praised for being “mindful of information hazards” in its approach,9 but the tension between transparency and security remains unresolved in the field.
Scope Limitations
Section titled “Scope Limitations”Evaluators have noted that SecureBio’s expertise “concentrates on biological threats, not financial systems or weapons infrastructure vulnerabilities.”13 The organization is not positioned to address all catastrophic risks.
Funding Dependence
Section titled “Funding Dependence”Like many EA-aligned organizations, SecureBio relies heavily on Open Philanthropy funding. This concentration creates sustainability risks and potential influence concerns, though no specific issues have been raised.
Key Uncertainties
Section titled “Key Uncertainties”Key Questions (5)
- Can DNA synthesis screening scale globally before advanced AI models make biological weapon creation significantly easier?
- Will wastewater surveillance provide sufficient warning time to prevent catastrophic pandemic spread?
- How should AI labs balance capability advancement with biosecurity concerns?
- Can information hazard frameworks be developed that enable defensive research without enabling attacks?
- Will SecureBio's AI capability evaluations keep pace with rapidly advancing AI systems?
Relationship to AI Safety
Section titled “Relationship to AI Safety”SecureBio represents an important bridge between the biosecurity and AI safety communities. The organization’s work on AI capability evaluations directly addresses concerns about AI misuse risksMisuse RisksComprehensive analysis of 13 AI misuse cruxes with quantified evidence showing mixed uplift (RAND bio study found no significant difference, but cyber CTF scores improved 27%→87% in 4 months), deep...Quality: 65/100, specifically the potential for AI to lower barriers to biological weapon creation.
The fact that SecureBio staff have moved to AI labs (Anjali Gopal to Anthropic) and that AI labs use SecureBio’s evaluation tools suggests meaningful knowledge transfer between these communities.
Sources
Section titled “Sources”Footnotes
Section titled “Footnotes”-
SecureBio Official Website - Organization overview and mission ↩ ↩2 ↩3
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Open Philanthropy - SecureBio General Support - $4M grant ↩ ↩2
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Open Philanthropy - SecureBio NAO - $3.43M grant ↩ ↩2
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Open Philanthropy - Biosecurity Research - $1.42M grant ↩ ↩2
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SecureBio NIST RFI Submission - AI policy recommendations ↩ ↩2 ↩3 ↩4
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SecureBio Team Page - Staff and organizational structure ↩ ↩2 ↩3 ↩4 ↩5
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Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists - Biosecurity Community Divided - Information hazard debates ↩ ↩2 ↩3
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Founders Pledge - SecureBio Assessment - Impact evaluation ↩ ↩2 ↩3
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EA Forum - SecureBio Notes from SoGive - Independent assessment ↩ ↩2
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Open Philanthropy - Pathogen Early Warning - $570K grant ↩
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Letter from the Executive Director - SecureBio Substack - Leadership transition and current status ↩ ↩2 ↩3 ↩4 ↩5 ↩6
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Virology Capabilities Test Paper - AI virology benchmark results ↩
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SoGive Notes on SecureBio - Funding and operational details ↩ ↩2 ↩3