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SecureBio

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  • QualityRated 65 but structure suggests 87 (underrated by 22 points)
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DimensionAssessmentEvidence
Focus AreaAI-bio risks + pathogen surveillanceTwo divisions: AI team (capability evals) and NAO (wastewater monitoring)1
FundingWell-funded by EA sources≈$9.4M from Open Philanthropy across multiple grants234
Policy InfluenceGrowingVirology Capabilities Test adopted by major AI labs; NIST AI Safety Consortium member5
Team≈25 staffExperienced leadership from MIT, biosecurity, and operations backgrounds6
Key ConcernInformation hazard balanceBiosecurity research inherently involves dual-use knowledge7

SecureBio is a 501(c)(3) nonprofit founded in 2022 by Kevin Esvelt, an MIT professor who invented CRISPR-based gene drive technology.1 The organization works to protect against catastrophic pandemics—both natural and engineered—through a three-part framework: Delay dangerous capability proliferation, Detect novel pathogens early, and Defend through physical and institutional interventions.8

The organization operates two main divisions. The AI & Biotechnology Risks team, led by Seth Donoughe, evaluates how AI systems might accelerate biological threats and develops benchmarks for AI labs. The Nucleic Acid Observatory (NAO), led by Jeff Kaufman, pioneers wastewater-based metagenomic surveillance to detect novel pathogens before they spread widely.6

SecureBio occupies a distinctive position in the biosecurity landscape by explicitly focusing on catastrophic and existential biological risks rather than routine public health threats. The organization also bridges the AI safety and biosecurity communities, recognizing that advances in AI could significantly lower barriers to creating engineered pathogens.5

Founding and Early Development (2022-2024)

Section titled “Founding and Early Development (2022-2024)”

SecureBio was founded by Kevin Esvelt, who brought credibility from his work on gene drive technology and his security-minded approach to biotechnology. Esvelt had previously argued that the “security mindset was not sufficiently present in most of the bioengineering industry.”9

The organization quickly attracted funding from Open Philanthropy, receiving multiple grants:

  • $4,000,000 for general support over three years2
  • $3,430,000 for the Nucleic Acid Observatory program3
  • $1,420,937 for biosecurity research over three years4
  • $570,000 for pathogen early warning systems10

In September 2024, Kevin Esvelt stepped back from SecureBio’s Board to focus on his MIT professorship and academic research, though he remains involved as a co-founder.11 Dr. Benjamin Mueller, formerly COO, became Executive Director and Chairman of the Board.

The board was restructured with new members bringing diverse expertise:

  • Christine Parthemore - CEO of Council on Strategic Risks, national security expert on WMD/CBRN threats
  • Michael Specter - Staff writer at The New Yorker, science and public health journalist
  • Liv Boeree - Science communicator and philanthropist11

The Delay pillar focuses on slowing the spread of dangerous biological capabilities to potential bad actors. Key initiatives include:

SecureDNA: An international initiative providing free DNA synthesis screening software to prevent dangerous pathogen creation. The system can detect hazardous genetic sequences down to 30 base pairs.11

AI Capability Restrictions: Working with AI labs to implement appropriate access controls for models that could assist with biological weapon development.5

The Detect pillar centers on early warning systems for novel biological threats:

Nucleic Acid Observatory (NAO): Uses untargeted metagenomic sequencing of wastewater to identify new and unknown pathogens—including those with extended incubation periods that evade symptom-based surveillance. As of 2025, NAO monitors wastewater from “more than a dozen sewersheds as well as three military facilities.”11

The approach is deliberately pathogen-agnostic, meaning it can detect threats regardless of whether they are natural, accidentally released, or deliberately engineered.1

The Defend pillar develops physical and institutional measures to prevent infection and maintain societal resilience:

Far-UVC Research: Previously investigated germicidal ultraviolet light as a passive defense against airborne pathogens (currently inactive).8

Pandemic-Proof PPE: Advocated for improved personal protective equipment standards.8

SecureBio’s AI team has become increasingly prominent as concerns about AI-enabled bioterrorism have grown.

The team developed the Virology Capabilities Test (VCT), a benchmark measuring AI models’ ability to assist with complex virology tasks. A 2025 study using the VCT found that OpenAI’s o3 model “outperformed 94 percent of expert virologists” on troubleshooting complex lab protocols, demonstrating an “urgent need for thoughtful access controls.”12

The VCT is now used by major AI laboratories for pre-release safety evaluations.11

SecureBio participates in the NIST US AI Safety Consortium and submitted formal recommendations including:5

  • Ensuring the AI Risk Management Framework addresses biosecurity risks from foundation models
  • Developing evaluations for CBRN risks including static benchmarks, model-graded evaluations, and task-based evaluations
  • Assessing biological design tools (BDTs) that could lower barriers for non-experts

SecureBio collaborates with frontier AI companies including Anthropic to build evaluation tools and mitigation strategies. Notably, former SecureBio Research Scientist Anjali Gopal, who co-led the AI project, moved to Anthropic’s technical staff.6

Leadership Team
BM
Ben Mueller
Executive Director & Board Chair
SD
Seth Donoughe
Director of AI
JK
Jeff Kaufman
Director of NAO
AM
Alvaro Morales
Director of Operations
DivisionHeadTeam SizeFocus
AI & Biotechnology RisksSeth Donoughe≈12AI capability evaluations, policy recommendations
Nucleic Acid ObservatoryJeff Kaufman≈15Wastewater surveillance, metagenomic sequencing
OperationsAlvaro Morales≈3Administration, finance, HR

Key researchers include Jasper Götting (Head of Research, AI team), Will Bradshaw (Head of Computational Programs, NAO), and James Kremer (Head of Laboratory Science, NAO).6

  • Kevin Esvelt - Stepped back September 2024 to focus on MIT professorship11
  • Anjali Gopal - Former AI Project Co-Lead, now at Anthropic6
FunderAmountPurposeYear
Open Philanthropy$4,000,000General support (3 years)2023
Open Philanthropy$3,430,000Nucleic Acid Observatory2023
Open Philanthropy$1,420,937Biosecurity research (3 years)2022
Open Philanthropy$570,000Pathogen early warning2022
Total identified≈$9,420,937

The AI-Bio evaluation project alone costs approximately $700,000 per 6 months, covering team leads, policy scientists, contractors, and research assistants.13 As of early 2024, SecureBio was actively seeking additional funding to sustain operations.13

SecureBio’s work inherently involves dual-use knowledge—understanding how to defend against biological threats requires understanding the threats themselves. The broader biosecurity community remains divided on how to handle such information hazards.7

Some experts argue that emphasizing certain risks could “fuel threats rather than mitigate them”—citing how Al Qaeda’s bioweapons efforts reportedly began after the United States publicly highlighted biosecurity vulnerabilities.7

SecureBio has been praised for being “mindful of information hazards” in its approach,9 but the tension between transparency and security remains unresolved in the field.

Evaluators have noted that SecureBio’s expertise “concentrates on biological threats, not financial systems or weapons infrastructure vulnerabilities.”13 The organization is not positioned to address all catastrophic risks.

Like many EA-aligned organizations, SecureBio relies heavily on Open Philanthropy funding. This concentration creates sustainability risks and potential influence concerns, though no specific issues have been raised.

Key Questions (5)
  • Can DNA synthesis screening scale globally before advanced AI models make biological weapon creation significantly easier?
  • Will wastewater surveillance provide sufficient warning time to prevent catastrophic pandemic spread?
  • How should AI labs balance capability advancement with biosecurity concerns?
  • Can information hazard frameworks be developed that enable defensive research without enabling attacks?
  • Will SecureBio's AI capability evaluations keep pace with rapidly advancing AI systems?

SecureBio represents an important bridge between the biosecurity and AI safety communities. The organization’s work on AI capability evaluations directly addresses concerns about AI misuse risks, specifically the potential for AI to lower barriers to biological weapon creation.

The fact that SecureBio staff have moved to AI labs (Anjali Gopal to Anthropic) and that AI labs use SecureBio’s evaluation tools suggests meaningful knowledge transfer between these communities.

  1. SecureBio Official Website - Organization overview and mission 2 3

  2. Open Philanthropy - SecureBio General Support - $4M grant 2

  3. Open Philanthropy - SecureBio NAO - $3.43M grant 2

  4. Open Philanthropy - Biosecurity Research - $1.42M grant 2

  5. SecureBio NIST RFI Submission - AI policy recommendations 2 3 4

  6. SecureBio Team Page - Staff and organizational structure 2 3 4 5

  7. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists - Biosecurity Community Divided - Information hazard debates 2 3

  8. Founders Pledge - SecureBio Assessment - Impact evaluation 2 3

  9. EA Forum - SecureBio Notes from SoGive - Independent assessment 2

  10. Open Philanthropy - Pathogen Early Warning - $570K grant

  11. Letter from the Executive Director - SecureBio Substack - Leadership transition and current status 2 3 4 5 6

  12. Virology Capabilities Test Paper - AI virology benchmark results

  13. SoGive Notes on SecureBio - Funding and operational details 2 3