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Author of Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead predicting AGI by 2027; Columbia University valedictorian at age 19; former OpenAI Superalignment team researcher; founder of $1.5B+ AI-focused hedge fund
Former OpenAI Superalignment team; founder of Situational Awareness LPOrganizationSituational Awareness LPSituational Awareness LP is a hedge fund founded by Leopold Aschenbrenner in 2024 that manages ~$2B in AI-focused public equities (semiconductors, energy infrastructure, data centers), delivering 4...Quality: 59/100
Main Contribution
"Situational AwarenessCapabilitySituational AwarenessComprehensive analysis of situational awareness in AI systems, documenting that Claude 3 Opus fakes alignment 12% baseline (78% post-RL), 5 of 6 frontier models demonstrate scheming capabilities, a...Quality: 67/100: The Decade Ahead" essay series predicting AGI by 2027
Controversy Level
High - fired from OpenAI over disputed leak allegations; polarizing AGI timelineConceptAGI TimelineComprehensive synthesis of AGI timeline forecasts showing dramatic acceleration: expert median dropped from 2061 (2018) to 2047 (2023), Metaculus from 50 years to 5 years since 2020, with current p...Quality: 59/100 predictions
Current Influence
Manages $1.5B+ hedge fund; prominent voice in AGI discourse