Skip to content
Longterm Wiki

Political Races

AI-relevant political races, including 2026 midterm primaries and ballot measures. Tracks candidates, PAC spending, and AI policy stances.

Upcoming
7
Active
16
Resolved
5
Candidates
42
28 races
RaceLevelDateStatusAI AngleCandidates
NC-4 Democratic Primary 2026(NC-4)U.S. House2026-03-03resolved

Jobs and Democracy PAC (Anthropic-backed) spent $1.6M supporting Foushee. Co-Chair of House Democratic Commission on AI.

2
NC-1 Republican Primary 2026(NC-1)U.S. House2026-03-03resolved

American Mission PAC spent $500K; Buckhout is former DOD deputy assistant secretary for cyber policy. Faces Don Davis (D) in competitive fall race.

1
TX-10 Republican Primary 2026(TX-10)U.S. House2026-03-03resolved

First candidate backed by Leading the Future's GOP arm. Gober is former Elon Musk attorney and America PAC director.

1
IL-8 Democratic Primary 2026(IL-8)U.S. House2026-03-17resolved

Think Big PAC spent $1.1M backing Bean; anti-regulation candidate won

1
IL-2 Democratic Primary 2026(IL-2)U.S. House2026-03-17resolved

Think Big PAC spent $1.4M backing Jackson Jr.; he lost despite PAC spending

1
TX-9 Republican Primary Runoff 2026(TX-9)U.S. House2026-05-26upcoming

Defending Our Values PAC (Anthropic-backed) supporting Alex Mealer. Pro-regulation PAC backing a Republican candidate.

1
TX-35 Republican Primary Runoff 2026(TX-35)U.S. House2026-05-26upcoming

Defending Our Values PAC (Anthropic-backed via Public First Action) backed De La Cruz as part of pro-regulation Republican slate. Key House battleground.

1
Texas Senate Republican Runoff 2026(TX-Sen)U.S. Senate2026-05-26upcoming

Cornyn (Commerce Committee) vs Paxton. Paxton led coalition opposing federal AI preemption of state laws. Both campaigns used AI-generated attack ads.

2
NY-12 Democratic Primary 2026(NY-12)U.S. House2026-06-23upcoming

Flagship AI regulation race: RAISE Act author Alex Bores vs anti-regulation PAC-backed challengers

4
Maine Senate 2026(ME-Sen)U.S. Senate2026-11-03active

Top Democratic pickup target. Collins' bipartisan tech policy record. Seat shift could determine Senate control over AI legislation. Rated Toss-Up.

2
California Parents & Kids Safe AI Act(CA)Ballot Measure2026-11-03upcoming

Joint initiative by OpenAI and Common Sense Media. First state-level AI chatbot audit regime. Signature deadline June 24, 2026.

2
North Carolina Senate 2026(NC-Sen)U.S. Senate2026-11-03active

NC was biggest AI PAC battleground state. Race projected most expensive in history ($500M-$1B). Balance-of-power implications for AI legislation.

4
Alaska Senate 2026(AK-Sen)U.S. Senate2026-11-03active

Low AI policy salience. Sullivan is mainstream R with no strong AI position. Peltola focused on resource/fisheries issues. Ranked-choice voting neutralizes spoiler effect.

2
Arizona Governor 2026(AZ-Gov)Governor2026-11-03active

Low direct AI relevance. Governor controls election certification in state where 2022 certification was contested. Lean D.

0
California Charitable Research Oversight Board(CA)Ballot Measure2026-11-03upcoming

Directly targets OpenAI's nonprofit-to-for-profit conversion. Filed by Suchir Balaji's mother. Backed by CANI Coalition (50+ orgs) and SF Foundation.

2
Nebraska Senate 2026(NE-Sen)U.S. Senate2026-11-03active

Defending Our Values PAC (Anthropic-backed) launched six-figure ad buy supporting Ricketts and his AI chip export legislation. Ricketts on Senate Commerce Committee.

1
Georgia Governor 2026(GA-Gov)Governor2026-11-03active

Low direct AI relevance. Democratic backsliding flashpoint: Raffensperger (who resisted pressure to overturn 2020 results) is running. Race is referendum on election integrity.

1
Iowa Senate 2026(IA-Sen)U.S. Senate2026-11-03active

Low direct AI policy relevance. Open seat (Ernst retiring). Lean R but competitive. Key for overall Senate control.

0
Iowa Governor 2026(IA-Gov)Governor2026-11-03active

Low direct AI relevance. Open seat (Reynolds retiring). Dem recruit Rob Sand (State Auditor) has strong cross-party approval. Tariff-hit economy may favor Democrats.

1
Michigan Senate 2026(MI-Sen)U.S. Senate2026-11-03active

McMorrow built campaign on AI/kids safety regulation. Rogers (R) backs AI deregulation framework. Key toss-up Senate seat.

3
California AI & Smartphone Safety for Minors(CA)Ballot Measure2026-11-03upcoming

Original Common Sense Media standalone initiative. More restrictive than the joint OpenAI/CSM measure. Enables private lawsuits for AI harm.

2
Florida Governor 2026(FL-Gov)Governor2026-11-03active

Leading the Future pledged $5M for Donalds. He opposes DeSantis-backed AI regulation. Will determine Florida's AI regulatory posture.

1
Michigan Governor 2026(MI-Gov)Governor2026-11-03active

Trifecta control at stake. Governor controls election admin in critical swing state. Michigan has independent redistricting commission but governor influences other democratic guardrails.

0
NJ-5 General Election 2026(NJ-5)U.S. House2026-11-03active

Jobs and Democracy PAC (Anthropic-backed) spent $300K supporting Gottheimer. He co-chairs House Democratic Commission on AI.

1
New Hampshire Senate 2026(NH-Sen)U.S. Senate2026-11-03active

Low direct AI policy relevance. Open seat (Shaheen retiring). Lean D. Key for overall Senate control which determines AI legislation prospects.

3
Georgia Senate 2026(GA-Sen)U.S. Senate2026-11-03active

Mike Collins used AI deepfake of Ossoff in attack ad. Swing state Senate battle for AI legislation control.

2
Wisconsin Governor 2026(WI-Gov)Governor2026-11-03active

Low direct AI relevance. Critical for democratic resilience: governor's veto protects recently restored fair legislative maps. A Republican governor could sign new gerrymandered maps.

0
Tennessee Governor 2026(TN-Gov)Governor2026-11-03active

Defending Our Values PAC (Anthropic-backed) running ads promoting Blackburn's children's online safety legislation record.

1