Political Races
AI-relevant political races, including 2026 midterm primaries and ballot measures. Tracks candidates, PAC spending, and AI policy stances.
| Race | Level | Date | Status | AI Angle | Candidates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC-4 Democratic Primary 2026(NC-4) | U.S. House | 2026-03-03 | resolved | Jobs and Democracy PAC (Anthropic-backed) spent $1.6M supporting Foushee. Co-Chair of House Democratic Commission on AI. | 2 |
| NC-1 Republican Primary 2026(NC-1) | U.S. House | 2026-03-03 | resolved | American Mission PAC spent $500K; Buckhout is former DOD deputy assistant secretary for cyber policy. Faces Don Davis (D) in competitive fall race. | 1 |
| TX-10 Republican Primary 2026(TX-10) | U.S. House | 2026-03-03 | resolved | First candidate backed by Leading the Future's GOP arm. Gober is former Elon Musk attorney and America PAC director. | 1 |
| IL-8 Democratic Primary 2026(IL-8) | U.S. House | 2026-03-17 | resolved | Think Big PAC spent $1.1M backing Bean; anti-regulation candidate won | 1 |
| IL-2 Democratic Primary 2026(IL-2) | U.S. House | 2026-03-17 | resolved | Think Big PAC spent $1.4M backing Jackson Jr.; he lost despite PAC spending | 1 |
| TX-9 Republican Primary Runoff 2026(TX-9) | U.S. House | 2026-05-26 | upcoming | Defending Our Values PAC (Anthropic-backed) supporting Alex Mealer. Pro-regulation PAC backing a Republican candidate. | 1 |
| TX-35 Republican Primary Runoff 2026(TX-35) | U.S. House | 2026-05-26 | upcoming | Defending Our Values PAC (Anthropic-backed via Public First Action) backed De La Cruz as part of pro-regulation Republican slate. Key House battleground. | 1 |
| Texas Senate Republican Runoff 2026(TX-Sen) | U.S. Senate | 2026-05-26 | upcoming | Cornyn (Commerce Committee) vs Paxton. Paxton led coalition opposing federal AI preemption of state laws. Both campaigns used AI-generated attack ads. | 2 |
| NY-12 Democratic Primary 2026(NY-12) | U.S. House | 2026-06-23 | upcoming | Flagship AI regulation race: RAISE Act author Alex Bores vs anti-regulation PAC-backed challengers | 4 |
| Maine Senate 2026(ME-Sen) | U.S. Senate | 2026-11-03 | active | Top Democratic pickup target. Collins' bipartisan tech policy record. Seat shift could determine Senate control over AI legislation. Rated Toss-Up. | 2 |
| California Parents & Kids Safe AI Act(CA) | Ballot Measure | 2026-11-03 | upcoming | Joint initiative by OpenAI and Common Sense Media. First state-level AI chatbot audit regime. Signature deadline June 24, 2026. | 2 |
| North Carolina Senate 2026(NC-Sen) | U.S. Senate | 2026-11-03 | active | NC was biggest AI PAC battleground state. Race projected most expensive in history ($500M-$1B). Balance-of-power implications for AI legislation. | 4 |
| Alaska Senate 2026(AK-Sen) | U.S. Senate | 2026-11-03 | active | Low AI policy salience. Sullivan is mainstream R with no strong AI position. Peltola focused on resource/fisheries issues. Ranked-choice voting neutralizes spoiler effect. | 2 |
| Arizona Governor 2026(AZ-Gov) | Governor | 2026-11-03 | active | Low direct AI relevance. Governor controls election certification in state where 2022 certification was contested. Lean D. | 0 |
| California Charitable Research Oversight Board(CA) | Ballot Measure | 2026-11-03 | upcoming | Directly targets OpenAI's nonprofit-to-for-profit conversion. Filed by Suchir Balaji's mother. Backed by CANI Coalition (50+ orgs) and SF Foundation. | 2 |
| Nebraska Senate 2026(NE-Sen) | U.S. Senate | 2026-11-03 | active | Defending Our Values PAC (Anthropic-backed) launched six-figure ad buy supporting Ricketts and his AI chip export legislation. Ricketts on Senate Commerce Committee. | 1 |
| Georgia Governor 2026(GA-Gov) | Governor | 2026-11-03 | active | Low direct AI relevance. Democratic backsliding flashpoint: Raffensperger (who resisted pressure to overturn 2020 results) is running. Race is referendum on election integrity. | 1 |
| Iowa Senate 2026(IA-Sen) | U.S. Senate | 2026-11-03 | active | Low direct AI policy relevance. Open seat (Ernst retiring). Lean R but competitive. Key for overall Senate control. | 0 |
| Iowa Governor 2026(IA-Gov) | Governor | 2026-11-03 | active | Low direct AI relevance. Open seat (Reynolds retiring). Dem recruit Rob Sand (State Auditor) has strong cross-party approval. Tariff-hit economy may favor Democrats. | 1 |
| Michigan Senate 2026(MI-Sen) | U.S. Senate | 2026-11-03 | active | McMorrow built campaign on AI/kids safety regulation. Rogers (R) backs AI deregulation framework. Key toss-up Senate seat. | 3 |
| California AI & Smartphone Safety for Minors(CA) | Ballot Measure | 2026-11-03 | upcoming | Original Common Sense Media standalone initiative. More restrictive than the joint OpenAI/CSM measure. Enables private lawsuits for AI harm. | 2 |
| Florida Governor 2026(FL-Gov) | Governor | 2026-11-03 | active | Leading the Future pledged $5M for Donalds. He opposes DeSantis-backed AI regulation. Will determine Florida's AI regulatory posture. | 1 |
| Michigan Governor 2026(MI-Gov) | Governor | 2026-11-03 | active | Trifecta control at stake. Governor controls election admin in critical swing state. Michigan has independent redistricting commission but governor influences other democratic guardrails. | 0 |
| NJ-5 General Election 2026(NJ-5) | U.S. House | 2026-11-03 | active | Jobs and Democracy PAC (Anthropic-backed) spent $300K supporting Gottheimer. He co-chairs House Democratic Commission on AI. | 1 |
| New Hampshire Senate 2026(NH-Sen) | U.S. Senate | 2026-11-03 | active | Low direct AI policy relevance. Open seat (Shaheen retiring). Lean D. Key for overall Senate control which determines AI legislation prospects. | 3 |
| Georgia Senate 2026(GA-Sen) | U.S. Senate | 2026-11-03 | active | Mike Collins used AI deepfake of Ossoff in attack ad. Swing state Senate battle for AI legislation control. | 2 |
| Wisconsin Governor 2026(WI-Gov) | Governor | 2026-11-03 | active | Low direct AI relevance. Critical for democratic resilience: governor's veto protects recently restored fair legislative maps. A Republican governor could sign new gerrymandered maps. | 0 |
| Tennessee Governor 2026(TN-Gov) | Governor | 2026-11-03 | active | Defending Our Values PAC (Anthropic-backed) running ads promoting Blackburn's children's online safety legislation record. | 1 |