Bioweapons Risk
MisuseCatastrophicAI systems could accelerate biological weapons development by helping with pathogen design, synthesis planning, or acquisition of dangerous knowledge. The concern isn't that AI creates entirely new risks, but that it lowers barriers—making capabilities previously requiring rare expertise more accessible to bad actors.
Severity
Catastrophic
Likelihood
Medium (emerging)
Time Horizon
2025–2030 (median 2027)
Maturity
Growing
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organization
Sources9
The Precipice
Toby Ord, 2020
Assessment
SeverityCatastrophic
LikelihoodMedium (emerging)
Time Horizon2025–2030 (median 2027)
MaturityGrowing
CategoryMisuse
Details
TypeMisuse
Key ConcernLowering barriers to development
Tags
biosecuritydual-use-researchx-riskcbrnai-misuse