Multipolar Trap (AI Development)
AccidentHighA multipolar trap occurs when competition between multiple actors produces outcomes that none of them want but none can escape individually. Each actor rationally pursues their own interest, but the aggregate result is collectively irrational.
Severity
High
Likelihood
Medium High
Time Horizon
~2030
Maturity
Growing
Full Wiki Article
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Read wiki article →Related Entities2
Sources8
Scott Alexander
Racing to the Precipice
Armstrong et al.
The Logic of Collective Action
Mancur Olson
Assessment
SeverityHigh
LikelihoodMedium High
Time Horizon~2030
MaturityGrowing
CategoryAccident
Details
TypeStructural
Also CalledCollective action failure
Tags
game-theorycoordinationcompetitiongovernancecollective-action