Citation·page:ai-timelines:fn12

AI Timelines - Footnote 12

Verdictcontradicted70%

1 check · 4/3/2026

The claim mentions median estimates ranging from 2040s to 2070s, but the source mentions estimates ranging from 2030s to 2070s. The claim mentions that the range depends on how questions were framed, but the source does not explicitly state this.

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Source evidence

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80000hours.org/2025/03/when-do-experts-expect-agi-to-arrive/resource

contradicted70%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

NoteThe claim mentions median estimates ranging from 2040s to 2070s, but the source mentions estimates ranging from 2030s to 2070s. The claim mentions that the range depends on how questions were framed, but the source does not explicitly state this.

Case № page:ai-timelines:fn12Filed 4/3/2026Confidence 70%