Citation·page:ai-timelines:fn37

AI Timelines - Footnote 37

Verdictpartial85%

1 check · 4/3/2026

The claim states that 95% AI R&D automation corresponds to AI systems achieving a 14-year "time horizon" on METR's coding task suite. The source does not mention this specific percentage or time horizon. The claim mentions that the benchmark measures the length of tasks an AI can complete with 80% reliability. The source does not mention this specific reliability percentage.

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Source evidence

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metr.org/notes/2026-02-10-simpler-ai-timelines-model/resource

partial85%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

NoteThe claim states that 95% AI R&D automation corresponds to AI systems achieving a 14-year "time horizon" on METR's coding task suite. The source does not mention this specific percentage or time horizon. The claim mentions that the benchmark measures the length of tasks an AI can complete with 80% reliability. The source does not mention this specific reliability percentage.

Case № page:ai-timelines:fn37Filed 4/3/2026Confidence 85%