Citation·page:futuresearch:fn7

FutureSearch - Footnote 7

Verdictcontradicted30%

1 check · 4/3/2026

unsupported: The source does not mention FutureSearch being established in San Bruno, California. unsupported: The source does not mention FutureSearch being established shortly after the release of GPT-4. inaccurate: The source only mentions Dan Schwarz as the founder of FutureSearch, not Lawrence Phillips. unsupported: The source does not mention Dan Schwarz creating Google's internal prediction market. unsupported: The source does not mention Lawrence Phillips leading the AI team at Metaculus or holding machine learning positions at Cambridge Consultants, GTN, Jawbone Health, and GSK.

Our claim

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Source evidence

1 src · 1 check

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-secret-sauce-of-accurate-ai-forecasting-with/id1558589105 resource

contradicted30%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

Noteunsupported: The source does not mention FutureSearch being established in San Bruno, California. unsupported: The source does not mention FutureSearch being established shortly after the release of GPT-4. inaccurate: The source only mentions Dan Schwarz as the founder of FutureSearch, not Lawrence Phillips. unsupported: The source does not mention Dan Schwarz creating Google's internal prediction market. unsupported: The source does not mention Lawrence Phillips leading the AI team at Metaculus or holding machine learning positions at Cambridge Consultants, GTN, Jawbone Health, and GSK.

Case № page:futuresearch:fn7Filed 4/3/2026Confidence 30%