Citation·page:good-judgment:fn41

Good Judgment (Forecasting) - Footnote 41

Verdictpartial90%

1 check · 4/3/2026

The claim states the IARPA ACE tournament was from 2011-2015, but the source does not specify the years of the tournament. The claim states the Good Judgment Project achieved more than 50% improvement over control groups, but the source attributes this to Team Good Judgment.

Our claim

entire record

No record data available.

Source evidence

1 src · 1 check

goodjudgment.com/resources/the-superforecasters-track-record/resource

partial90%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

NoteThe claim states the IARPA ACE tournament was from 2011-2015, but the source does not specify the years of the tournament. The claim states the Good Judgment Project achieved more than 50% improvement over control groups, but the source attributes this to Team Good Judgment.

Case № page:good-judgment:fn41Filed 4/3/2026Confidence 90%