Citation·page:good-judgment:fn44

Good Judgment (Forecasting) - Footnote 44

Verdictpartial80%

1 check · 4/3/2026

The source does not mention that Good Judgment outperformed *Financial Times* readers on forecasts for 2023 events. The source does not mention that Good Judgment proved 30% more accurate than futures markets on central bank interest rate decisions during 2024-2025. The source states that the Superforecasters received full marks on forecasts published last year in “The World Ahead 2023” issue, and that eight of the nine questions have resolved. The wiki claim states that Good Judgment superforecasters earned full marks on 8 out of 9 resolved forecasts.

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goodjudgment.com/full-marks-economist-superforecasts/resource

partial80%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

NoteThe source does not mention that Good Judgment outperformed *Financial Times* readers on forecasts for 2023 events. The source does not mention that Good Judgment proved 30% more accurate than futures markets on central bank interest rate decisions during 2024-2025. The source states that the Superforecasters received full marks on forecasts published last year in “The World Ahead 2023” issue, and that eight of the nine questions have resolved. The wiki claim states that Good Judgment superforecasters earned full marks on 8 out of 9 resolved forecasts.

Case № page:good-judgment:fn44Filed 4/3/2026Confidence 80%