Good Judgment (Forecasting) - Footnote 45

Noteunsupported: The source does not mention that Good Judgment superforecasters earned full marks on 8 out of 9 resolved forecasts in The Economist. unsupported: The source does not mention that Good Judgment superforecasters correctly predicting global economic growth at 3%, China's growth at 5%, and that Putin would not be ousted from power. misleading paraphrase: The source states that Superforecasters outperformed Financial Times readers on forecasts for 2023 events, but it does not specify that there were 8,500 participants from Financial Times. unsupported: The source does not mention that Good Judgment superforecasters proved 30% more accurate than futures markets on central bank interest rate decisions during 2024-2025.