Citation·page:good-judgment:fn46

Good Judgment (Forecasting) - Footnote 46

Verdictpartial85%

1 check · 4/3/2026

The source states that 670 forecasting questions were posed to the Superforecasters, not 554 questions resolved. The source does not mention that the organization reports significantly lower Brier scores compared to peer forecasters.

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Source evidence

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goodjudgment.com/resources/the-superforecasters-track-record/resource

partial85%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

NoteThe source states that 670 forecasting questions were posed to the Superforecasters, not 554 questions resolved. The source does not mention that the organization reports significantly lower Brier scores compared to peer forecasters.

Case № page:good-judgment:fn46Filed 4/3/2026Confidence 85%