Citation·page:kalshi:fn58

Kalshi (Prediction Market) - Footnote 58

Verdictcontradicted50%

1 check · 4/3/2026

The source does not mention that Kalshi and Polymarket have created a duopoly. The source does not state that Kalshi and Polymarket collectively amassed over $44 billion in trading volume during 2025. The source states that Polymarket is not operational in the US as of December 2023, not that it has faced restrictions on US users.

Our claim

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Source evidence

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research.contrary.com/company/kalshi resource

contradicted50%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

NoteThe source does not mention that Kalshi and Polymarket have created a duopoly. The source does not state that Kalshi and Polymarket collectively amassed over $44 billion in trading volume during 2025. The source states that Polymarket is not operational in the US as of December 2023, not that it has faced restrictions on US users.

Case № page:kalshi:fn58Filed 4/3/2026Confidence 50%