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Longtermism's Philosophical Credibility After FTX - Footnote 28

Verdictcontradicted70%
1 check · 4/3/2026

The claim attributes the arguments to MacAskill and Ord, but the source only mentions MacAskill and Ord separately, not jointly. The claim mentions 'current actions can reliably influence existential outcomes', but the source mentions 'actions we can take now to affect how good or bad the future is', which is not exactly the same as influencing existential outcomes.

Our claim

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Source evidence

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contradicted70%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

NoteThe claim attributes the arguments to MacAskill and Ord, but the source only mentions MacAskill and Ord separately, not jointly. The claim mentions 'current actions can reliably influence existential outcomes', but the source mentions 'actions we can take now to affect how good or bad the future is', which is not exactly the same as influencing existential outcomes.

Case № page:longtermism-credibility-after-ftx:fn28Filed 4/3/2026Confidence 70%