Citation·page:nuno-sempere:fn2

Nuño Sempere - Footnote 2

Verdictpartial80%

1 check · 4/3/2026

The source does not state that Samotsvety won the CSET-Foretell competition. The source does not contain the quote 'by an absolutely obscene margin, around twice as good as the next-best team in terms of the relative Brier score.' The source does not contain the quote 'some of the best superforecasters in the world.' attributed to Scott Alexander.

Our claim

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Source evidence

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forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/GAFwc5jGFjqSetJiu/sentinel-early-detection-and-response-for-global resource

partial80%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

NoteThe source does not state that Samotsvety won the CSET-Foretell competition. The source does not contain the quote 'by an absolutely obscene margin, around twice as good as the next-best team in terms of the relative Brier score.' The source does not contain the quote 'some of the best superforecasters in the world.' attributed to Scott Alexander.

Case № page:nuno-sempere:fn2Filed 4/3/2026Confidence 80%