Philip Tetlock - Footnote 10
The claim states the tournament was from 2011-2015, but the source only says it was a 'four-year geopolitical forecasting tournament' without specifying the exact years. The claim states that the tournament involved 'thousands of forecasters making over one million predictions', but the source does not provide specific numbers for the number of forecasters or predictions made.
Our claim
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Source evidence
1 src · 1 checkNoteThe claim states the tournament was from 2011-2015, but the source only says it was a 'four-year geopolitical forecasting tournament' without specifying the exact years. The claim states that the tournament involved 'thousands of forecasters making over one million predictions', but the source does not provide specific numbers for the number of forecasters or predictions made.