Citation·page:philip-tetlock:fn13

Philip Tetlock - Footnote 13

Verdictcontradicted70%

1 check · 4/3/2026

WRONG NUMBERS: The claim states that superforecasters exceeded intelligence analysts by 60-85%, but the source does not provide these specific numbers.

Our claim

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Source evidence

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www.edge.org/conversation/philip_tetlock-how-to-win-at-forecasting

contradicted70%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

NoteWRONG NUMBERS: The claim states that superforecasters exceeded intelligence analysts by 60-85%, but the source does not provide these specific numbers.

Case № page:philip-tetlock:fn13Filed 4/3/2026Confidence 70%