Citation·page:philip-tetlock:fn6

Philip Tetlock - Footnote 6

Verdictcontradicted30%

1 check · 4/3/2026

The source does not mention the National Academy of Sciences Committee on Nuclear War Prevention. The source does not mention the analysis of 82,000 predictions from 284 experts. The source does not specify the time frame of 1984 to 2003.

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Source evidence

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pikprofessors.upenn.edu/meet-the-professors/philip-tetlock

contradicted30%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

NoteThe source does not mention the National Academy of Sciences Committee on Nuclear War Prevention. The source does not mention the analysis of 82,000 predictions from 284 experts. The source does not specify the time frame of 1984 to 2003.

Case № page:philip-tetlock:fn6Filed 4/3/2026Confidence 30%