Polymarket - Footnote 24
The source does not mention the specific amount of predictions made during 2024, only that there was a 48x surge in trading volume. The source does not mention research published in May 2024 that found Polymarket outperformed traditional polling in predicting the election outcome, particularly in swing states, adjusting dynamically to real-world events like assassination attempts and debate performances while polling remained relatively static.
Our claim
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Source evidence
1 src · 1 checkNoteThe source does not mention the specific amount of predictions made during 2024, only that there was a 48x surge in trading volume. The source does not mention research published in May 2024 that found Polymarket outperformed traditional polling in predicting the election outcome, particularly in swing states, adjusting dynamically to real-world events like assassination attempts and debate performances while polling remained relatively static.