Citation·page:polymarket:fn49

Polymarket - Footnote 49

Verdictpartial85%

1 check · 4/3/2026

The source does not state that the platform tends to overestimate probabilities by approximately 2 points across ranges. It provides accuracy percentages at different timeframes before market resolution. The claim mentions 'NFL games' as an event type, but the source only mentions 'sports' generally.

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Source evidence

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coincodex.com/article/65963/is-polymarket-accurate/

partial85%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

NoteThe source does not state that the platform tends to overestimate probabilities by approximately 2 points across ranges. It provides accuracy percentages at different timeframes before market resolution. The claim mentions 'NFL games' as an event type, but the source only mentions 'sports' generally.

Case № page:polymarket:fn49Filed 4/3/2026Confidence 85%