Citation·page:polymarket:fn50

Polymarket - Footnote 50

Verdictpartial85%

1 check · 4/3/2026

The source does not state that the platform tends to overestimate probabilities by approximately 2 points across ranges. It provides accuracy percentages at different timeframes before market resolution. The claim mentions 'NFL games' as an event type, but the source refers to 'sports' in general.

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Source evidence

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coincodex.com/article/65963/is-polymarket-accurate/

partial85%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

NoteThe source does not state that the platform tends to overestimate probabilities by approximately 2 points across ranges. It provides accuracy percentages at different timeframes before market resolution. The claim mentions 'NFL games' as an event type, but the source refers to 'sports' in general.

Case № page:polymarket:fn50Filed 4/3/2026Confidence 85%