Citation·page:samotsvety:fn28

Samotsvety - Footnote 28

Verdictpartial85%

1 check · 4/3/2026

The source does not mention the group's methodology shifting from outside-view reference class forecasting to inside-view models based on AI capabilities progress. The source refers to AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) and TAI (Transformative Artificial Intelligence), not TAI (Technological Artificial Intelligence).

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www.foxy-scout.com/samotsvetys-ai-risk-forecasts/

partial85%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

NoteThe source does not mention the group's methodology shifting from outside-view reference class forecasting to inside-view models based on AI capabilities progress. The source refers to AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) and TAI (Transformative Artificial Intelligence), not TAI (Technological Artificial Intelligence).

Case № page:samotsvety:fn28Filed 4/3/2026Confidence 85%