Index
Funding Program: FTX Future Fund AI Worldview Prize
Verdictconfirmed95%
1 check · 7/20/20261 → confirmed
Our claim
entire record- Name
- FTX Future Fund AI Worldview Prize
- Description
- Prize competition offering up to $1.5M for analysis updating key probability estimates on AI misalignment risk and AGI timeline questions.
- Program Type
- prize
- Currency
- USD
- Open Date
- September 23, 2022
- Deadline
- December 23, 2022
- Status
- closed
- Notes
Three-month competition (Sept–Dec 2022) targeting three AI propositions: P(misalignment x-risk|AGI), AGI by 2043, and AGI by 2100. Prizes: $1.5M for large probability shifts, $200k for canonical analysis, $50k min for top 3 submissions. Terminated early by FTX collapse in Novembe… expand
Three-month competition (Sept–Dec 2022) targeting three AI propositions: P(misalignment x-risk|AGI), AGI by 2043, and AGI by 2100. Prizes: $1.5M for large probability shifts, $200k for canonical analysis, $50k min for top 3 submissions. Terminated early by FTX collapse in November 2022 before prizes were awarded.
Source evidence
1 src · 1 checkforum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/W7C5hwq7sjdpTdrQF/announcing-the-future-fund-s-ai-worldview-prizeresource
confirmed95%Haiku 4.5 · 7/20/2026
NoteThe record claims the funding program has a status of 'closed'. The source confirms this through the update note indicating the Future Fund team has resigned and FTX has filed for bankruptcy, making it 'very unlikely that these prizes will be paid out.' This effectively closes the program. The name 'FTX Future Fund AI Worldview Prize' is also confirmed in the source title. While the source doesn't use the word 'closed' explicitly, the context of team resignation and bankruptcy filing clearly indicates the program is no longer operational, which aligns with a 'closed' status.
Case № 1pRQ4s0kDBFiled 7/20/2026Confidence 95%