Skip to content
Longterm Wiki
Index
Grant·2qwH2ecCQH·Record·Profile

Grant: Forecasting global disasters (Manifund → 248)

Verdictpartial85%
1 check · 4/11/2026

The source confirms the funder (ACX Grants, which is part of Manifund), the grantee (Nuño Sempere / Sentinel team, identified as '248' in the record), and the grant name. However, there is a discrepancy in the amount: the source states '$50,000' while the record claims '$50,705'. The difference of $705 (1.4%) is small but not negligible. Additionally, the date is uncertain—the source says '3 months ago' from the archive date of December 30, 2025, which would place it around late September 2025, but the record claims 2025-10-09 (October 9, 2025). This is a minor temporal discrepancy of roughly 1-2 weeks. The core facts are confirmed but the specific amount and date details do not match precisely.

Our claim

entire record
Name
Forecasting global disasters
Amount
$50,705
Currency
USD
Date
October 9, 2025
Notes
[ACX Grants 2025] Elite cyborg forecasters identify and share the most important signs of global catastrophic risks for you and the public.

Source evidence

1 src · 1 check
partial85%Haiku 4.5 · 4/11/2026

NoteThe source confirms the funder (ACX Grants, which is part of Manifund), the grantee (Nuño Sempere / Sentinel team, identified as '248' in the record), and the grant name. However, there is a discrepancy in the amount: the source states '$50,000' while the record claims '$50,705'. The difference of $705 (1.4%) is small but not negligible. Additionally, the date is uncertain—the source says '3 months ago' from the archive date of December 30, 2025, which would place it around late September 2025, but the record claims 2025-10-09 (October 9, 2025). This is a minor temporal discrepancy of roughly 1-2 weeks. The core facts are confirmed but the specific amount and date details do not match precisely.

Case № 2qwH2ecCQHFiled 4/11/2026Confidence 85%