Index
Grant: Hypermind — AI Forecasting Tournament (Coefficient Giving → Good Judgment (Forecasting))
Verdictpartial67%
1 check · 4/9/2026Partial deterministic match: amount, date matched but grantee did not (2714 rows)
Our claim
entire record- Grantee
- Good Judgment (Forecasting)
- Name
- Hypermind — AI Forecasting Tournament
- Amount
- $121,124
- Currency
- USD
- Date
- March 2021
- Notes
[Forecasting] Grant investigator: Luke Muehlhauser This page was reviewed but not written by the grant investigator. Hypermind staff also reviewed this page prior to publication. Open Philanthropy recommended a contract of $121,124 with Hypermind to collaborate with Metaculus… expand
[Forecasting] Grant investigator: Luke Muehlhauser This page was reviewed but not written by the grant investigator. Hypermind staff also reviewed this page prior to publication. Open Philanthropy recommended a contract of $121,124 with Hypermind to collaborate with Metaculus on an AI development forecasting tournament. Forecasts will cover the themes of hardware and supercomputing, performance and benchmarks, research trends, and economic and financial impact. This falls within our focus area of potential risks from advanced artificial intelligence. This project was supported through a contractor agreement. While we typically do not publish pages for contractor agreements, we occasionally opt to do so.
Source evidence
1 src · 1 checkpartial67%deterministic-row-match · 4/9/2026
- Name
- Hypermind — AI Forecasting Tournament
- Grantee
- Hypermind
- Focus Area
- Forecasting
- Amount
- $121,124.00
- Date
- March 2021
- Description
- Grant investigator: Luke Muehlhauser Th
NotePartial deterministic match: amount, date matched but grantee did not (2714 rows)
Case № te_U_ruWfJFiled 4/9/2026Confidence 67%