Skip to content
Longterm Wiki has not been actively maintained since May 2026. Some data is still updated occasionally, but please don't rely on this site being current or accurate.
Longterm Wiki
Index
Personnel·fOKn6LCKZz·Record

Barbara Mellers @ Good Judgment (Forecasting)

Verdictpartial65%
2 checks · 1 src · 9/14/2026

1 → partial; stale (excluded): 1 → partial

Our claim

entire record
Person
3fqe9E1cMj
Role
Co-Founder
Role Type
key-person
Is Founder
Yes
Notes
Barbara A. Mellers co-founded Good Judgment Inc with Philip Tetlock. Confirmed on Wikipedia and Good Judgment website as of 2026-04-16.

Source evidence

1 src · 2 checks
partial65%Haiku 4.5 · 9/14/2026

NoteRe-check. Previous verdict: partial. Verdict unchanged.

partial95%qua650-retro-scan-subject-identity · 4/21/2026

NoteQUA-650 retro-scan: The source is about 'The Good Judgment Project,' a research organization that began in 2011 as part of an IARPA program. The claim is about 'Good Judgment (Forecasting),' which refers to Good Judgment Inc., the commercial spin-off mentioned in the source that started operating in July 2015. These are distinct entities per QUA-648 guidelines (parent/subsidiary mismatch).

Case № fOKn6LCKZzFiled 9/14/2026Confidence 65%
Source Check: Barbara Mellers @ Good Judgment (Forecasting) | Longterm Wiki