Index
Philip Tetlock @ Good Judgment (Forecasting)
Verdictconfirmed95%
2 checks · 1 src · 7/27/20261 → confirmed; stale (excluded): 1 → partial
Our claim
entire record- Person
- Philip Tetlock
- Role
- Co-Founder
- Role Type
- key-person
- Is Founder
- Yes
- Notes
- Philip E. Tetlock co-founded Good Judgment Inc to provide forecasting services; also known for founding the Good Judgment Project (IARPA) with Barbara Mellers. Confirmed on Wikipedia and Good Judgment website as of 2026-04-16.
Source evidence
1 src · 2 checksconfirmed95%Haiku 4.5 · 7/27/2026
NoteRe-check. Previous verdict: partial. Verdict changed.
partial95%qua650-retro-scan-subject-identity · 4/21/2026
NoteQUA-650 retro-scan: The claim is about 'Good Judgment (Forecasting)' while the source is about 'The Good Judgment Project.' Per QUA-648, these are similarly-named-but-different organizations: The Good Judgment Project is the original research project, while Good Judgment Inc. (the commercial entity that could be referred to as 'Good Judgment (Forecasting)') is explicitly described as a separate spin-off that started in July 2015. The source does not primarily address the commercial forecasting entity.
Case № iflt8Anj3OFiled 7/27/2026Confidence 95%