Stephen Grugett — Co-founder and Organizer at Manifest (Forecasting Conference)
personnelFailed source checkMetadata
| Source Table | personnel |
| Source ID | 7IItD92ic3 |
| Source URL | www.lesswrong.com/posts/6YWCy2RbZQ6A6k5di/announcing-manifest-2023-sep-22-24-in-berkeley-2 |
| Parent | Manifest (Forecasting Conference) |
| Children | — |
| Created | Apr 15, 2026, 11:21 AM |
| Updated | Apr 15, 2026, 11:21 AM |
| Synced | Apr 15, 2026, 11:21 AM |
Record Data
id | 7IItD92ic3 |
personId | Stephen Grugett(person) |
organizationId | Manifest (Forecasting Conference)(organization) |
personEntityId | Stephen Grugett(person) |
personDisplayName | — |
orgEntityId | Manifest (Forecasting Conference)(organization) |
orgDisplayName | — |
role | Co-founder and Organizer |
roleType | key-person |
startDate | 2023 |
endDate | — |
isFounder | Yes |
appointedBy | — |
background | — |
source | www.lesswrong.com/posts/6YWCy2RbZQ6A6k5di/announcing-manifest-2023-sep-22-24-in-… |
notes | Stephen Grugett is CEO of Manifold Markets and co-founder of Manifest conference. Manifold Markets is the primary organizer of Manifest. One of three co-founders alongside Austin Chen and James Grugett. Confirmed via LessWrong announcement. |
Source Check Verdicts
unverifiable85% confidence
Last checked: 9/21/2026
1 → unverifiable; stale (excluded): 1 → confirmed
Debug info
Thing ID: 7IItD92ic3
Source Table: personnel
Source ID: 7IItD92ic3