James Grugett — Co-founder and Organizer at Manifest (Forecasting Conference)
personnelFailed source checkMetadata
| Source Table | personnel |
| Source ID | nPmOGb4PeA |
| Source URL | www.lesswrong.com/posts/6YWCy2RbZQ6A6k5di/announcing-manifest-2023-sep-22-24-in-berkeley-2 |
| Parent | Manifest (Forecasting Conference) |
| Children | — |
| Created | Apr 15, 2026, 11:21 AM |
| Updated | Apr 15, 2026, 11:21 AM |
| Synced | Apr 15, 2026, 11:21 AM |
Record Data
id | nPmOGb4PeA |
personId | James Grugett(person) |
organizationId | Manifest (Forecasting Conference)(organization) |
personEntityId | James Grugett(person) |
personDisplayName | — |
orgEntityId | Manifest (Forecasting Conference)(organization) |
orgDisplayName | — |
role | Co-founder and Organizer |
roleType | key-person |
startDate | 2023 |
endDate | — |
isFounder | Yes |
appointedBy | — |
background | — |
source | www.lesswrong.com/posts/6YWCy2RbZQ6A6k5di/announcing-manifest-2023-sep-22-24-in-… |
notes | James Grugett is a co-founder of Manifold Markets which organizes Manifest conference. One of three co-founders (along with Stephen Grugett and Austin Chen). Confirmed via LessWrong announcement. |
Source Check Verdicts
unverifiable85% confidence
Last checked: 9/21/2026
1 → unverifiable; stale (excluded): 1 → confirmed
Debug info
Thing ID: nPmOGb4PeA
Source Table: personnel
Source ID: nPmOGb4PeA