Irreversibility Threshold Model

{
  "id": "irreversibility-threshold",
  "numericId": null,
  "path": "/knowledge-base/models/irreversibility-threshold/",
  "filePath": "knowledge-base/models/irreversibility-threshold.mdx",
  "title": "Irreversibility Threshold Model",
  "quality": 57,
  "readerImportance": 54,
  "researchImportance": 89.5,
  "tacticalValue": null,
  "contentFormat": "article",
  "tractability": null,
  "neglectedness": null,
  "uncertainty": null,
  "causalLevel": null,
  "lastUpdated": "2026-03-13",
  "dateCreated": "2026-02-15",
  "llmSummary": "Analyzes when AI decisions become permanently locked-in across technical, economic, social, political, and existential dimensions, estimating 25% probability of crossing infeasible-reversal thresholds by 2035 with 4-5 year expected time to major threshold. Provides specific reversal cost trajectories (e.g., model weights become practically irreversible within 1 week post-release) and identifies that the 2025-2028 window is critical for intervention in the most likely competitive lock-in scenario (45% probability).",
  "description": "This model analyzes when AI decisions become permanently locked-in. It estimates 25% probability of crossing infeasible-reversal thresholds by 2035, with expected time to major threshold at 4-5 years.",
  "ratings": {
    "focus": 8.5,
    "novelty": 6.5,
    "rigor": 5,
    "completeness": 7.5,
    "concreteness": 6.5,
    "actionability": 5.5
  },
  "category": "models",
  "subcategory": "threshold-models",
  "clusters": [
    "ai-safety",
    "governance"
  ],
  "metrics": {
    "wordCount": 3084,
    "tableCount": 11,
    "diagramCount": 1,
    "internalLinks": 5,
    "externalLinks": 0,
    "footnoteCount": 0,
    "bulletRatio": 0.32,
    "sectionCount": 29,
    "hasOverview": true,
    "structuralScore": 11
  },
  "suggestedQuality": 73,
  "updateFrequency": 90,
  "evergreen": true,
  "wordCount": 3084,
  "unconvertedLinks": [],
  "unconvertedLinkCount": 0,
  "convertedLinkCount": 0,
  "backlinkCount": 0,
  "hallucinationRisk": {
    "level": "medium",
    "score": 60,
    "factors": [
      "no-citations",
      "few-external-sources"
    ]
  },
  "entityType": "analysis",
  "redundancy": {
    "maxSimilarity": 19,
    "similarPages": [
      {
        "id": "automation-bias-cascade",
        "title": "Automation Bias Cascade Model",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/models/automation-bias-cascade/",
        "similarity": 19
      },
      {
        "id": "authentication-collapse-timeline",
        "title": "Authentication Collapse Timeline Model",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/models/authentication-collapse-timeline/",
        "similarity": 17
      },
      {
        "id": "autonomous-weapons-proliferation",
        "title": "LAWS Proliferation Model",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/models/autonomous-weapons-proliferation/",
        "similarity": 17
      },
      {
        "id": "expertise-atrophy-cascade",
        "title": "Expertise Atrophy Cascade Model",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/models/expertise-atrophy-cascade/",
        "similarity": 17
      },
      {
        "id": "fraud-sophistication-curve",
        "title": "Fraud Sophistication Curve Model",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/models/fraud-sophistication-curve/",
        "similarity": 17
      }
    ]
  },
  "coverage": {
    "passing": 5,
    "total": 13,
    "targets": {
      "tables": 12,
      "diagrams": 1,
      "internalLinks": 25,
      "externalLinks": 15,
      "footnotes": 9,
      "references": 9
    },
    "actuals": {
      "tables": 11,
      "diagrams": 1,
      "internalLinks": 5,
      "externalLinks": 0,
      "footnotes": 0,
      "references": 0,
      "quotesWithQuotes": 0,
      "quotesTotal": 0,
      "accuracyChecked": 0,
      "accuracyTotal": 0
    },
    "items": {
      "llmSummary": "green",
      "schedule": "green",
      "entity": "green",
      "editHistory": "red",
      "overview": "green",
      "tables": "amber",
      "diagrams": "green",
      "internalLinks": "amber",
      "externalLinks": "red",
      "footnotes": "red",
      "references": "red",
      "quotes": "red",
      "accuracy": "red"
    },
    "ratingsString": "N:6.5 R:5 A:5.5 C:7.5"
  },
  "readerRank": 270,
  "researchRank": 31,
  "recommendedScore": 162.82
}

No external links

No backlinks