Multipolar Trap Dynamics Model

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  "summary": "Game-theoretic analysis of AI competition traps showing universal cooperation probability drops from 81% (2 actors) to 21% (15 actors), with 5-10% catastrophic lock-in risk and 20-35% partial coordination probability. Compute governance identified as highest-leverage intervention offering 20-35% risk reduction, with specific policy recommendations across compute regulation, liability frameworks, and international coordination.",
  "description": "This model analyzes game-theoretic dynamics of AI competition traps. It estimates 20-35% probability of partial coordination, 5-10% of catastrophic competitive lock-in, with compute governance offering 20-35% risk reduction.",
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