AI Governance Effectiveness Analysis

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  "summary": "A structured comparative analysis of seven AI governance intervention types that honestly acknowledges the weak counterfactual evidence base while providing useful A–F grades and identifying the crowding-out/ratcheting tension between voluntary and mandatory mechanisms as the central strategic question. The key finding — that no single modality dominates, and that export controls and hard regulation outperform voluntary commitments despite pacing problems — is well-supported and actionable for governance prioritization.",
  "description": "Comparative analysis of AI governance intervention types — from hard regulation and export controls to voluntary commitments and international coordination — graded on theory of change, enforcement strength, counterfactual impact, and failure modes.",
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