Export Controls Effectiveness Analysis

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  "summary": "A well-structured effectiveness analysis of US AI chip export controls estimating a 6–18 month delay on Chinese AI development, with documented supply friction but accelerating indigenous capability development and significant enforcement gaps; article is incomplete as it cuts off mid-framework and lacks observed outcomes, smuggling evidence, and counterfactual sections promised in the description.",
  "description": "Assessment of whether US AI chip export controls actually slow China's AI development, covering the 2022–2025 control timeline, theory of change, observed outcomes, smuggling evidence, and counterfactual impact.",
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