Risk Cascade Pathways

{
  "id": "risk-cascade-pathways",
  "wikiId": "E256",
  "path": "/knowledge-base/models/risk-cascade-pathways/",
  "filePath": "knowledge-base/models/risk-cascade-pathways.mdx",
  "title": "Risk Cascade Pathways",
  "quality": 67,
  "readerImportance": 59,
  "researchImportance": 74.5,
  "tacticalValue": null,
  "contentFormat": "article",
  "causalLevel": null,
  "lastUpdated": "2025-12-26",
  "dateCreated": "2026-02-15",
  "summary": "Identifies 5 AI risk cascade pathways with probabilities of 1-45% for catastrophic outcomes over 5-50 year timelines, finding racing dynamics as the highest leverage intervention point (80-90% trigger rate, 2-4 year window). Recommends \\$3-7B annual investment prioritizing international coordination (\\$1-2B) and technical research (\\$800M-1.5B) to achieve 25-35% overall risk reduction.",
  "description": "Analysis of how AI risks trigger each other in sequential chains, identifying 5 critical pathways with cumulative probabilities of 1-45% for catastrophic outcomes. Racing dynamics leading to corner-cutting represents highest leverage intervention point with 80-90% trigger probability.",
  "ratings": {
    "focus": 8.5,
    "novelty": 6.5,
    "rigor": 6,
    "completeness": 7.5,
    "concreteness": 7.5,
    "actionability": 8
  },
  "category": "models",
  "subcategory": "cascade-models",
  "clusters": [
    "ai-safety",
    "governance"
  ],
  "metrics": {
    "wordCount": 1750,
    "tableCount": 15,
    "diagramCount": 4,
    "internalLinks": 27,
    "externalLinks": 0,
    "footnoteCount": 0,
    "bulletRatio": 0.11,
    "sectionCount": 24,
    "hasOverview": true,
    "structuralScore": 12
  },
  "suggestedQuality": 80,
  "updateFrequency": 90,
  "evergreen": true,
  "wordCount": 1750,
  "unconvertedLinks": [],
  "unconvertedLinkCount": 0,
  "convertedLinkCount": 19,
  "backlinkCount": 3,
  "hallucinationRisk": {
    "level": "medium",
    "score": 60,
    "factors": [
      "no-citations",
      "few-external-sources"
    ]
  },
  "entityType": "analysis",
  "redundancy": {
    "maxSimilarity": 15,
    "similarPages": [
      {
        "id": "risk-interaction-network",
        "title": "Risk Interaction Network",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/models/risk-interaction-network/",
        "similarity": 15
      },
      {
        "id": "risk-interaction-matrix",
        "title": "Risk Interaction Matrix Model",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/models/risk-interaction-matrix/",
        "similarity": 14
      },
      {
        "id": "compounding-risks-analysis",
        "title": "Compounding Risks Analysis",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/models/compounding-risks-analysis/",
        "similarity": 13
      },
      {
        "id": "corrigibility-failure-pathways",
        "title": "Corrigibility Failure Pathways",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/models/corrigibility-failure-pathways/",
        "similarity": 13
      },
      {
        "id": "power-seeking-conditions",
        "title": "Power-Seeking Emergence Conditions Model",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/models/power-seeking-conditions/",
        "similarity": 13
      }
    ]
  },
  "coverage": {
    "passing": 8,
    "total": 13,
    "targets": {
      "tables": 7,
      "diagrams": 1,
      "internalLinks": 14,
      "externalLinks": 9,
      "footnotes": 5,
      "references": 5
    },
    "actuals": {
      "tables": 15,
      "diagrams": 4,
      "internalLinks": 27,
      "externalLinks": 0,
      "footnotes": 0,
      "references": 14,
      "quotesWithQuotes": 0,
      "quotesTotal": 0,
      "accuracyChecked": 0,
      "accuracyTotal": 0
    },
    "items": {
      "summary": "green",
      "schedule": "green",
      "entity": "green",
      "editHistory": "red",
      "overview": "green",
      "tables": "green",
      "diagrams": "green",
      "internalLinks": "green",
      "externalLinks": "red",
      "footnotes": "red",
      "references": "green",
      "quotes": "red",
      "accuracy": "red"
    },
    "ratingsString": "N:6.5 R:6 A:8 C:7.5"
  },
  "readerRank": 234,
  "researchRank": 123,
  "recommendedScore": 166.87
}

No external links