Safety Culture Equilibrium

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  "summary": "Game-theoretic model identifying three equilibria for AI lab safety culture: racing-dominant (current state, S=0.25), safety-competitive (S>0.6), and regulation-imposed (S=0.15-0.25). Key finding: transitions require either coordinated commitment raising β (safety reputation value) above α (capability value), or major incidents increasing γ (accident weight), with 40-60% probability of incident-driven regulation within 5 years.",
  "description": "This model analyzes stable states for AI lab safety culture under competitive pressure. It identifies three equilibria: racing-dominant (current), safety-competitive, and regulation-imposed, with transition conditions requiring coordinated commitment or major incident.",
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