Expected Value of AI Safety Research

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  "title": "Expected Value of AI Safety Research",
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  "summary": "Economic model analyzing AI safety research returns, recommending 3-10x funding increases from current ~\\$500M/year to \\$2-5B, with highest marginal returns (5-10x) in alignment theory and governance research currently receiving only 10% of funding each. Provides specific allocation recommendations across philanthropic (\\$600M-1B), industry (\\$600M), and government (\\$1B) sources with concrete investment priorities and timelines.",
  "description": "Economic model analyzing marginal returns on AI safety research investment, finding current funding (\\$500M/year) significantly below optimal with 2-5x returns available in neglected areas like alignment theory and governance research.",
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