Is Scaling All You Need?

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  "summary": "Comprehensive survey of the 2024-2025 scaling debate, documenting the shift from pure pretraining to 'scaling-plus' approaches after o3 achieved 87.5% on ARC-AGI-1 but GPT-5 faced 2-year delays. Expert consensus has moved to ~45% favoring hybrid approaches, with Epoch AI projecting a data wall by 2026-2030 and AGI timelines spanning 5-30+ years depending on paradigm.",
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