Authentication Collapse Timeline Model

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  "title": "Authentication Collapse Timeline Model",
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  "lastUpdated": "2026-03-13",
  "dateCreated": "2026-02-15",
  "llmSummary": "Projects when AI-generated content becomes undetectable across modalities: text detection already at ~50% (random chance), images declining 5-10% annually toward 2026-2028 failure, audio/video following by 2028-2033. Models this as asymmetric arms race with structural advantages favoring generators, estimating 25-35% probability of rapid collapse by 2029-2030 and \\$425B-1.7T global adaptation costs, though counter-arguments suggest 15-25% rapid collapse probability may be more realistic given market incentives.",
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