Autonomous Weapons Escalation Model

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  "title": "Autonomous Weapons Escalation Model",
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  "dateCreated": "2026-02-15",
  "summary": "Analyzes autonomous weapons escalation risk through 10,000x speed differential between human decision-making (5-30 minutes) and machine cycles (0.2-0.7 seconds), estimating 1-5% annual catastrophic escalation probability during competitive deployment scenarios, with 10-40% cumulative decade risk. Provides quantitative model showing 6.3-45.4% per-incident escalation risk depending on doctrine, and recommends \\$2B annual safety investment (vs current \\$200M) with circuit breakers as highest-value near-term intervention.",
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