Whole Brain Emulation

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  "title": "Whole Brain Emulation",
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  "llmSummary": "Comprehensive analysis of whole brain emulation finding <1% probability of arriving before AI-based TAI, with scanning speed (100,000x too slow for human brains) as the primary bottleneck despite resolution requirements being met. Documents technical requirements (10^18-10^25 FLOPS depending on detail level), current progress (fruit fly complete at 140K neurons vs 86B human), and concludes WBE is peripheral to AI prioritization given AI's faster trajectory.",
  "description": "Analysis of uploading/simulating complete biological brains at sufficient fidelity to replicate cognition. The 2008 Sandberg-Bostrom Roadmap estimated scanning requirements of 5-10nm resolution and 10^18-10^25 FLOPS for simulation. Progress has been slower than AI, with the fruit fly connectome (140,000 neurons) completed in 2024 while human brains have 86 billion neurons. Estimated less than 1% probability of arriving before AI-based TAI.",
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{
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  "eaForum": "https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/topics/whole-brain-emulation",
  "wikipedia": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mind_uploading",
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  "eightyK": "https://80000hours.org/problem-profiles/whole-brain-emulation/",
  "grokipedia": "https://grokipedia.com/page/Mind_uploading"
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