Gwern Branwen

{
  "id": "gwern",
  "wikiId": "E574",
  "path": "/knowledge-base/people/gwern/",
  "filePath": "knowledge-base/people/gwern.mdx",
  "title": "Gwern Branwen",
  "quality": 52,
  "readerImportance": 27,
  "researchImportance": 40,
  "tacticalValue": null,
  "contentFormat": "article",
  "causalLevel": null,
  "lastUpdated": "2026-02-02",
  "dateCreated": "2026-02-15",
  "summary": "Comprehensive biographical profile of pseudonymous researcher Gwern Branwen, documenting his early advocacy of AI scaling laws (predicting AGI by 2030), extensive self-experimentation work, and influence within rationalist/EA communities. While well-sourced with 47 citations, the page functions as reference material with limited mainstream AI research impact and no actionable takeaways for prioritization work.",
  "description": "Independent researcher and writer known for long-form essays on AI scaling laws, psychology, statistics, and self-experimentation, maintaining gwern.net as an influential knowledge repository.",
  "ratings": {
    "focus": 7.5,
    "novelty": 2,
    "rigor": 5.5,
    "completeness": 6.5,
    "concreteness": 4,
    "actionability": 1
  },
  "category": "people",
  "subcategory": "forecasters",
  "clusters": [
    "ai-safety",
    "epistemics"
  ],
  "metrics": {
    "wordCount": 2660,
    "tableCount": 2,
    "diagramCount": 0,
    "internalLinks": 11,
    "externalLinks": 2,
    "footnoteCount": 44,
    "bulletRatio": 0.12,
    "sectionCount": 24,
    "hasOverview": true,
    "structuralScore": 14
  },
  "suggestedQuality": 93,
  "updateFrequency": 180,
  "evergreen": true,
  "wordCount": 2660,
  "unconvertedLinks": [
    {
      "text": "gwern.net",
      "url": "https://gwern.net",
      "resourceId": "kb-b3eec02ad0c77dbc",
      "resourceTitle": "Gwern.net – Essays by Gwern Branwen"
    }
  ],
  "unconvertedLinkCount": 1,
  "convertedLinkCount": 0,
  "backlinkCount": 2,
  "citationHealth": {
    "total": 47,
    "withQuotes": 38,
    "verified": 37,
    "accuracyChecked": 37,
    "accurate": 18,
    "inaccurate": 5,
    "avgScore": 0.9388249336104644
  },
  "hallucinationRisk": {
    "level": "medium",
    "score": 45,
    "factors": [
      "biographical-claims",
      "well-cited"
    ]
  },
  "entityType": "person",
  "redundancy": {
    "maxSimilarity": 14,
    "similarPages": [
      {
        "id": "agentic-ai",
        "title": "Agentic AI",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/capabilities/agentic-ai/",
        "similarity": 14
      },
      {
        "id": "miri-era",
        "title": "The MIRI Era (2000-2015)",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/history/miri-era/",
        "similarity": 14
      },
      {
        "id": "language-models",
        "title": "Large Language Models",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/capabilities/language-models/",
        "similarity": 13
      },
      {
        "id": "reasoning",
        "title": "Reasoning and Planning",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/capabilities/reasoning/",
        "similarity": 13
      },
      {
        "id": "scientific-research",
        "title": "Scientific Research Capabilities",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/capabilities/scientific-research/",
        "similarity": 13
      }
    ]
  },
  "coverage": {
    "passing": 7,
    "total": 13,
    "targets": {
      "tables": 11,
      "diagrams": 1,
      "internalLinks": 21,
      "externalLinks": 13,
      "footnotes": 8,
      "references": 8
    },
    "actuals": {
      "tables": 2,
      "diagrams": 0,
      "internalLinks": 11,
      "externalLinks": 2,
      "footnotes": 44,
      "references": 1,
      "quotesWithQuotes": 38,
      "quotesTotal": 47,
      "accuracyChecked": 37,
      "accuracyTotal": 47
    },
    "items": {
      "summary": "green",
      "schedule": "green",
      "entity": "green",
      "editHistory": "red",
      "overview": "green",
      "tables": "amber",
      "diagrams": "red",
      "internalLinks": "amber",
      "externalLinks": "amber",
      "footnotes": "green",
      "references": "amber",
      "quotes": "green",
      "accuracy": "green"
    },
    "ratingsString": "N:2 R:5.5 A:1 C:6.5"
  },
  "readerRank": 471,
  "researchRank": 339,
  "recommendedScore": 121.66
}

No external links