AI Acceleration Tradeoff Model

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  "llmSummary": "Quantitative framework for evaluating how changes to AI development speed affect existential risk and long-term value. Models the marginal impact of acceleration/deceleration on P(existential catastrophe), safety readiness, governance preparedness, and conditional future value. Finds that 1 year of additional preparation time reduces x-risk by 1-4 percentage points depending on current readiness, but also delays economic and scientific benefits worth 0.1-0.5% of future value annually.",
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