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SummarySummaryBasic text summary used in search results, entity link tooltips, info boxes, and related page cards.crux content improve <id>ScheduleScheduleHow often the page should be refreshed. Drives the overdue tracking system.Set updateFrequency in frontmatterEntityEntityYAML entity definition with type, description, and related entries.Add entity YAML in data/entities/Edit historyEdit historyTracked changes from improve pipeline runs and manual edits.crux edit-log view <id>OverviewOverviewA ## Overview heading section that orients readers. Helps with search and AI summaries.
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Future Projections
Overview
This section explores different scenarios for how AI development might unfold. Scenario analysis helps prepare for multiple futures rather than betting on a single prediction.
Scenario Analysis Uses
Scenarios help:
Test robustness — Which interventions help across scenarios?
Identify early signs — What would indicate we're heading toward each?
Prepare contingencies — What should we do if each materializes?
Communicate — Make abstract risks concrete
Key Uncertainties
The scenario we end up in depends heavily on:
AGI timelines (sooner favors speed, later favors preparation)